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StatsScoutingCompareFixture Advantage Finder
See 2025/26Only 2 GW · small samplesOnly 2 gameweeks played so far, so these are small samples

Our projections over the last 3 matches

Attacking
Defensive
Sort by:GWs:

New to these numbers? xGI, npxG explained in plain English.

#
Player
Last 3npxG + assists
GW3
GW4
GW5
GW6
GW7
Expected
Likely range
1
M. Gibbs-White
Gibbs-WhitePNFO · CAM
0.06LEE1.00LIV
HTOT0.79xGI
PROAVL
PROCOV
PROCRY
PROARS
0.8xGI
0.01.8
2
Igor Thiago
ThiagoPBRE · CF
0.37TOT0.66LEE
HSUN0.73xGI
PROBOU
PROCHE
PROAVL
PROLIV
0.7xGI
0.01.7
3
E. Haaland
HaalandPMCI · CFTournament return 11 Jul. Returned from a summer tournament on 11 Jul. It is missing pre-season, not a late return, that has historically cost players minutes.
0.00BOU0.00CRY
HCOV0.66xGI
PROMUN
PROSUN
PROLIV
PROIPS
0.7xGI
0.01.6
4
Bruno Fernandes
FernandesPMUN · CAM
0.00HUL0.00IPS
AEVE0.60xGI
PROMCI
PROFUL
PROTOT
PROLEE
0.6xGI
0.01.5
5
D. Szoboszlai
SzoboszlaiPLIV · CM
0.00NEW0.06NFO
AIPS0.58xGI
PROFUL
PROBOU
PROMCI
PROBRE
0.6xGI
0.01.5
6
B. Saka
SakaPARS · WGTournament return 18 Jul. Returned from a summer tournament on 18 Jul. It is missing pre-season, not a late return, that has historically cost players minutes.
0.00COV0.00AVL
HCHE0.50xGI
PROSUN
PROBHA
PROLEE
PRONFO
0.5xGI
0.01.3
7
A. Semenyo
SemenyoMCI · WG
0.00BOU0.00CRY
HCOV0.38xGI
PROMUN
PROSUN
PROLIV
PROIPS
0.4xGI
0.01.1
8
R. Cherki
CherkiMCI · CAMTournament return 18 Jul. Returned from a summer tournament on 18 Jul. It is missing pre-season, not a late return, that has historically cost players minutes.
0.00BOU0.00CRY
HCOV0.35xGI
PROMUN
PROSUN
PROLIV
PROIPS
0.4xGI
0.01.0
9
K. Schade
SchadeBRE · WG
0.28TOT0.42LEE
HSUN0.34xGI
PROBOU
PROCHE
PROAVL
PROLIV
0.3xGI
0.01.0
10
Evanilson
EvanilsonBOU · CF
0.00MCI2.18EVE
ANEW0.34xGI
PROBRE
PROLIV
PROCHE
PROSUN
0.3xGI
0.01.0
11
Gonzalo García
GarcíaPFUL · CF
0.29SUN
HCRY0.33xGI
PROLIV
PROMUN
PROIPS
PROHUL
0.3xGI
0.01.0
12
M. Tavernier
TavernierBOU · WG
0.00MCI0.11EVE
ANEW0.33xGI
PROBRE
PROLIV
PROCHE
PROSUN
0.3xGI
0.01.0
13
D. Rice
RiceARS · CMTournament return 18 Jul. Returned from a summer tournament on 18 Jul. It is missing pre-season, not a late return, that has historically cost players minutes.
0.00COV0.00AVL
HCHE0.32xGI
PROSUN
PROBHA
PROLEE
PRONFO
0.3xGI
0.01.0
14
B. Mbeumo
MbeumoMUN · WG
0.00HUL0.00IPS
AEVE0.32xGI
PROMCI
PROFUL
PROTOT
PROLEE
0.3xGI
0.01.0
15
P. Foden
FodenMCI · WG
0.00BOU0.00CRY
HCOV0.32xGI
PROMUN
PROSUN
PROLIV
PROIPS
0.3xGI
0.01.0
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50

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See every player and multi-gameweek runs with projections across the season.

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Every range is drawn on one scale, 0 to 2.0 xGI.Showing 50 of 572 players

Why the grade has three bands

Fixture gain ranks at Spearman 0.072 over three games and 0.058 over five. That is why runs are graded Kind, Average or Tough and never ranked by a gain figure.

What the board sorts by

Expected output ranks at 0.52 against realised npxG, so it is the default sort. It is the one quantity here that orders players reliably.

Reading the heat

1.300.20

Colour is projected xGI per fixture, and every cell prints that projection beside its unit. Nothing else on the board borrows these colours.

How accurate is this? See the methodology and track record

This early in the season projections lean on last season. Trust the fixture grade more than the absolute figure while player data is thin: a player's own scoring rate largely cancels out of the fixture comparison, so it survives a small sample far better.

Pre-season readiness

Players who appeared in none of the league's observed pre-season matches have a 40% readiness reduction applied to their gameweek 1 to 3 minutes: players who skipped the summer build-up have historically played well short of the minutes their record implied. Those players are labelled "No pre-season" under their name on the board. It is missing pre-season, not a late return, that has historically cost players minutes, so a player labelled "Tournament return" instead has had no projection changed. We can only assess clubs whose pre-season matches Wyscout recorded with a lineup, and a player at a club we could not assess never carries either label.

How accurate is this? See the methodology and track record
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