Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2025/2026

GW11

09 Nov 14:00

J. Gillett

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NFO40%

Draw29%

LEE31%

NFOForest1.5

Right channel

NFO right channel vs LEE left side

Leeds Utd's left side leaks more than most.

NFO attack here

42% of attacks

LEE concede here

0.23 xT per match

Sits deeperPresses higher

Middling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Low intensityHigh intensity

ScrappyMiddling control

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Measured riskTakes risks

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

NFO16th → xPos 15th

LEE14th → xPos 6th

table posxPosition

NFO

LW0.31

CF0.50

RW0.38

CAM0.13

CDM0.25

CM0.19

LB0.06

CB0.13

RB0.19

LEE

LW0.29

CF0.59

RW0.53

CAM0.35

CDM0.24

CM0.24

LB0.06

CB0.12

RB0.41

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Nottingham ForestForest
3-1
Leeds UtdLeeds Utd
Sangaré 14'
Gibbs-White 67'
Anderson (P)

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest formLDDWD

Leeds United formLLDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score