Newcastle Utd vs Manchester City Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2025/2026

GW12

22 Nov 17:30

S. Barrott

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW33%

Draw26%

MCI41%

NEWNewcastle1.5

Left channel

NEW left channel vs MCI right side

Man City's right side holds up well.

NEW attack here

36% of attacks

MCI concede here

0.19 xT per match

Very centralVery wide

Light

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Mid-blockVery high line

Very cautiousMeasured risk

TechnicalVery technical

Sits offMixed response

Patient build-upPossession-based

High intensityHigh intensity

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

NEW12th → xPos 12th

MCI2nd → xPos 2nd

table posxPosition

NEW

LW0.18

CF0.53

RW0.12

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.12

LB0.06

CB0.29

RB0.00

MCI

LW0.59

CF0.18

RW0.06

CAM0.18

CDM0.18

CM0.00

LB0.06

CB0.00

RB0.06

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
2-1
Manchester CityMan City
Barnes 63'
Barnes 69'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Newcastle United formLWWLL

Manchester City formWWDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score