Newcastle Utd vs Burnley Preview: What the xG Data Says

Newcastle

2-11.73-1.24

Burnley

Guimarães 30'
Gordon (P) 52'

Flemming (P) 93'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW15

06 Dec 15:00

S. Attwell

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW58%

Draw25%

BUR17%

NEWNewcastle1.9

Right channel

NEW right channel vs BUR left side

Burnley's left side holds up well.

NEW attack here

41% of attacks

BUR concede here

0.22 xT per match

Very scrappyTechnical

Central play

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Low intensityHigh intensity

Drops right offMixed response

Middling physicalityFairly physical

Possession-basedMixed build-up

Measured riskMeasured risk

60-70% confident (n=2)

50% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

NEW12th → xPos 12th

BUR19th → xPos 20th

table posxPosition

NEW

LW0.18

CF0.53

RW0.12

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.12

LB0.06

CB0.29

RB0.00

BUR

LW0.53

CF0.76

RW0.47

CAM0.12

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.06

CB0.24

RB0.18

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
2-1
BurnleyBurnley
Guimarães 30'
Gordon (P) 52'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Newcastle United formLWWLL

Burnley formLLDLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score