Manchester Utd vs Newcastle Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2025/2026

GW18

26 Dec 20:00

A. Taylor

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MUN53%

Draw25%

NEW22%

MUNMan Utd1.9

Left channel

NEW left channel vs MUN right side

Man Utd's right side holds up well.

NEW attack here

36% of attacks

MUN concede here

0.21 xT per match

Central playVery wide

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Middling intensityHigh intensity

Possession-basedMixed build-up

Mixed responseCounter-presses

CautiousMeasured risk

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

MUN3rd → xPos 3rd

NEW12th → xPos 12th

table posxPosition

MUN

LW0.59

CF0.71

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.12

RB0.18

NEW

LW0.18

CF0.53

RW0.12

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.12

LB0.06

CB0.29

RB0.00

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Manchester UtdMan Utd
1-0
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Dorgu 23'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Manchester United formWLWDL

Newcastle United formLWWLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score