Manchester Utd vs Burnley Preview: What the xG Data Says

Man Utd

3-23.10-1.42

Burnley

Cullen (OG) 26'
Mbeumo 56'
Fernandes (P) 96'

Foster 54'
Anthony 65'

Foster 54'
Anthony 65'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW3

30 Aug 14:00

S. Barrott

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MUN67%

Draw21%

BUR12%

MUNMan Utd2.2

Left channel

BUR left channel vs MUN right side

Man Utd's right side holds up well.

BUR attack here

42% of attacks

MUN concede here

0.21 xT per match

Drops right offCounter-presses

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Low intensityMiddling intensity

CautiousMeasured risk

LightMiddling physicality

Mixed build-upMixed build-up

Central playCentral play

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

MUN3rd → xPos 3rd

BUR19th → xPos 20th

table posxPosition

MUN

LW0.59

CF0.71

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.12

RB0.18

BUR

LW0.53

CF0.76

RW0.47

CAM0.12

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.06

CB0.24

RB0.18

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Manchester UtdMan Utd
3-2
BurnleyBurnley
Cullen (OG) 26'
Mbeumo 56'
Fernandes (P)

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Manchester United formWLWDL

Burnley formLLDLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score