Manchester City vs Burnley Preview: What the xG Data Says

Man City

5-11.70-0.43

Burnley

Estève (OG) 11'
Nunes 60'
Estève (OG) 64'
Haaland 89'
Haaland 92'

Anthony 37'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW6

27 Sep 14:00

R. Jones

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MCI71%

Draw19%

BUR10%

MCIMan City2.4

Left channel

BUR left channel vs MCI right side

Man City's right side holds up well.

BUR attack here

42% of attacks

MCI concede here

0.19 xT per match

Very scrappyVery technical

Deep block

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Low intensityHigh intensity

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Very centralCentral play

LightMiddling physicality

Drops right offSits off

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

MCI2nd → xPos 2nd

BUR19th → xPos 20th

table posxPosition

MCI

LW0.59

CF0.18

RW0.06

CAM0.18

CDM0.18

CM0.00

LB0.06

CB0.00

RB0.06

BUR

LW0.53

CF0.76

RW0.47

CAM0.12

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.06

CB0.24

RB0.18

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Manchester CityMan City
5-1
BurnleyBurnley
Estève (OG) 11'
Nunes 60'
Estève (OG)

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Manchester City formWWDDW

Burnley formLLDLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score