Leeds Utd vs Nottingham Forest Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2025/2026

GW25

06 Feb 20:00

P. Bankes

This match has been played.

See full analysis

LEE46%

Draw28%

NFO26%

LEELeeds Utd1.6

Right channel

NFO right channel vs LEE left side

Leeds Utd's left side leaks more than most.

NFO attack here

42% of attacks

LEE concede here

0.23 xT per match

Sits deeperPresses higher

Middling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Low intensityHigh intensity

ScrappyMiddling control

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Measured riskTakes risks

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

LEE14th → xPos 6th

NFO16th → xPos 15th

table posxPosition

LEE

LW0.29

CF0.59

RW0.53

CAM0.35

CDM0.24

CM0.24

LB0.06

CB0.12

RB0.41

NFO

LW0.31

CF0.50

RW0.38

CAM0.13

CDM0.25

CM0.19

LB0.06

CB0.13

RB0.19

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Leeds UtdLeeds Utd
3-1
Nottingham ForestForest
Bogle 25'
Okafor 29'
Calvert-Lewin

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Leeds United formLLDDW

Nottingham Forest formLDDWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score