Crystal Palace vs Burnley Preview: What the xG Data Says

C. Palace

2-32.44-0.46

Burnley

Larsen 16'
Larsen 32'

Mejbri 39'
Anthony 43'
Lerma (OG) 46'

Mejbri 39'
Anthony 43'
Lerma (OG) 46'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW26

11 Feb 19:30

F. Hallam

This match has been played.

See full analysis

CRY57%

Draw26%

BUR17%

CRYC. Palace1.8

Left channel

CRY left channel vs BUR right side

Burnley's right side is one of the league's leakiest.

CRY attack here

42% of attacks

BUR concede here

0.33 xT per match

Drops right offHeavy counter-press

Middling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Measured riskTakes risks

Very scrappyVery scrappy

Low intensityLow intensity

Central playCentral play

Deep blockDeep block

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

CRY15th → xPos 9th

BUR19th → xPos 20th

table posxPosition

CRY

LW0.18

CF0.47

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.12

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.06

RB0.06

BUR

LW0.53

CF0.76

RW0.47

CAM0.12

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.06

CB0.24

RB0.18

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
2-3
BurnleyBurnley
Larsen 16'
Larsen 32'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Crystal Palace formWLWDW

Burnley formLLDLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score