Burnley vs Liverpool Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2025/2026

GW4

14 Sep 13:00

M. Oliver

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BUR24%

Draw28%

LIV47%

BURBurnley1.1

Left channel

LIV left channel vs BUR right side

Burnley's right side is one of the league's leakiest.

LIV attack here

41% of attacks

BUR concede here

0.33 xT per match

Very scrappyVery technical

Deep block

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

Low intensityHigh intensity

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Very lightMiddling physicality

Drops right offMixed response

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Central playEven width

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

BUR19th → xPos 20th

LIV5th → xPos 4th

table posxPosition

BUR

LW0.53

CF0.76

RW0.47

CAM0.12

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.06

CB0.24

RB0.18

LIV

LW0.29

CF0.35

RW0.41

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.29

LB0.29

CB0.12

RB0.18

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BurnleyBurnley
0-1
LiverpoolLiverpool

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Burnley formLLDLL

Liverpool formWLDLW

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score