Brighton vs Manchester City Preview: What the xG Data Says

Brighton

2-12.37-1.73

Man City

Milner (P) 66'
Gruda 88'

Haaland 33'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW3

31 Aug 13:00

D. England

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BHA33%

Draw27%

MCI40%

BHABrighton1.4

Left channel

BRI left channel vs MCI right side

Man City's right side holds up well.

BRI attack here

50% of attacks

MCI concede here

0.19 xT per match

Sits offCounter-presses

Very central

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

LeftCentreRight

Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most

LightFairly physical

Patient build-upPossession-based

Very cautiousCautious

TechnicalVery technical

High intensityVery high intensity

Very high lineVery high line

60-70% confident (n=1)

0% right

Predicted

70-80% confident (n=1)

100% right

Predicted

BHA8th → xPos 10th

MCI2nd → xPos 2nd

table posxPosition

BRI

LW0.12

CF0.71

RW0.18

CAM0.24

CDM0.06

CM0.24

LB0.12

CB0.06

RB0.06

MCI

LW0.59

CF0.18

RW0.06

CAM0.18

CDM0.18

CM0.00

LB0.06

CB0.00

RB0.06

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BrightonBrighton
2-1
Manchester CityMan City
Milner (P) 66'
Gruda 88'

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Model accuracy

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score

Model verdict

Biggest mismatch

Style ranks

Most likely to score

Attacking zones and vulnerabilities

Where they attack

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Brighton formWLWWW

Manchester City formWWDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Goal involvements conceded per position

Most likely to score