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BUR 0-3 MCI
Difficulty Ratings
Viewing the 2023/24 season
Go to 2026/27
Burnley vs Manchester City Preview: What the xG Data Says | xG Stat
Burnley
0
-
3
0.35
-
2.17
Man City
Haaland
3'
Haaland
35'
Rodri
74'
Burnley
Burnley
0
-
3
Manchester City
Man City
15
30
60
75
+5'
+8'
0-1
0-2
0-3
KEY
ALL
Match
Players
Tactics
Stats
Line-ups
Preview
3 free passes
0.35
-
2.17
Haaland
3'
Haaland
35'
Rodri
74'
Premier League 2023/2024
GW1
11 Aug 19:00
C. Pawson
This match has been played.
See full analysis
Model verdict
High confidence
BUR
16%
Draw
21%
MCI
63%
BUR
Burnley
1.0
Biggest mismatch
Neither side attacks one channel heavily enough, into a position the other concedes badly enough, to call it a mismatch.
Style ranks
Biggest differences first
Burnley
Man City
Settled · 38 GW
Sits deeper
Very high line
Middling control
Very technical
Attacking zones and vulnerabilities
Where they attack
Left
Centre
Right
Left
Centre
Right
Very cautious
Measured risk
Patient build-up
Mixed build-up
Sits off
Mixed response
Middling intensity
High intensity
Very central
Central play
Middling physicality
Middling physicality
Predicted
60-70% confident
(n=1)
0% right
Predicted
70-80% confident
(n=1)
100% right
Predicted
Position vs Expected Position
BUR
19th → xPos 19th
MCI
1st → xPos 1st
table pos
xPosition
Form & Head-to-head
Burnley form
D
D
D
L
L
Manchester City form
D
L
W
D
W
Head-to-head · last 5
Goal involvements conceded per position
GI
xG
xT
BUR
LW
0.39
CF
0.79
RW
0.79
CAM
0.29
CDM
0.24
CM
0.32
LB
0.16
CB
0.21
RB
0.11
MCI
LW
0.26
CF
0.39
RW
0.21
CAM
0.13
CDM
0.05
CM
0.08
LB
0.03
CB
0.05
RB
0.13
MCI
Man City
2.1
Based on 76 matches played this season.
Most likely to score
Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.
When the gameweek is set